Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 1

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Pachuca		San Diego

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.88	3.55	2.28	Watch
	3.26	3.77	2.13
	2.92	3.65	2.29	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.3
	2.87	3.58	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)	3.55 ↓ (3.55)	2.27 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
32.5%

Draw
26.3%

San Diego
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	16.7%	41.7%

Pachuca - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 4 - 40%). San Diego will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Pachuca (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Diego will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 25%). San Diego (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 3. Aceves A. 28. Montiel E. 5. Pedraza P. 8. Guzman V. 18. Dominguez A. 99. Cadiz J. 23. Quinones L.	13. Sisniega P. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 25. Pilcher I. 26. Duah M. 27. Bombino L. 8. Valakari O. 20. Godoy A. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 10. Dreyer A. 9. Angel T. 11. Lozano H.
Substitutes
16. Alemao 26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 9. Hernandez I. 30. Hernandez S. A. 15. Luna I. 194. Molina Y. 14. Sanchez C. 181. Shrem D. (G) 32. Togni G.	24. Boateng E. 14. de la Torre L. 5. Diop H. 1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 23. Harangi A. 98. Jackson J. (G) 17. McNair P. 77. Mighten A. 22. Negri F. 15. Soma P. 19. Vazquez D.
Coaches
Lozano J.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Guzman V. ⚽,
44', Dominguez A. 🟨,
45+1', Pedraza P. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Dominguez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Angel T. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
46', Pilcher I. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
66', Bombino L. 🟨,
67', Cadiz J. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
67', Pedraza P. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Dominguez A. ⚽,
72', Godoy A. ↓, Boateng E. ↑,
72', Verhoeven O. ↓, Harangi A. ↑,
72', Lozano H. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
74', Bautista A. 🟨,
77', Mighten A. 🟨,
79', Quinones L. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
84', Guzman V. ↓, Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↑,
85', Dominguez A. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Boateng E. ⚽, Harangi A. (A),
90+2', Dreyer A. 🟥,
90+3', Montiel E. 🟨,
90+8', de la Torre L. 🟨,
90+10', 3 - 2, Bombino L. ⚽, Tverskov J. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pachuca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	UNAM - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
13.07.25	Pachuca - Monterrey	3:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
26.06.25	Al-Hilal - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Real Madrid - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLL
- San Diego FC
MLS
25.07.25	San Diego - Nashville SC	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	San Diego - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Chicago Fire - San Diego	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	San Diego - Houston Dynamo	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWL

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