Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Los Angeles		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.82	3.75	3.9	Watch
	2.04	3.7	3.78
	2.04	3.63	3.34	Watch
	1.85	3.78	3.89	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	3.57 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
48%

Draw
25.8%

Pachuca
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles's performance.

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Los Angeles - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Pachuca will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 3 - 60%). Pachuca (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Los Angeles (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pachuca (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 14. Palencia S. 11. Tillman T. 6. Igor Jesus 8. Delgado M. 30. Martinez D. 27. Ordaz N. 99. Bouanga D.	25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 3. Aceves A. 28. Montiel E. 5. Pedraza P. 8. Guzman V. 18. Dominguez A. 99. Cadiz J. 23. Quinones L.
Substitutes
23. Amaya F. 31. Cabral C. (G) 17. Ebobisse J. 80. Holm O. T. 45. Nielsen K. 18. Ochoa D. (G) 21. Raposo R. 43. Saldana A. 29. Smolyakov A. 77. Wibowo A. 20. Yeboah Y.	16. Alemao 26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 9. Hernandez I. 29. Kenedy 19. Lopez J. 15. Luna I. 14. Sanchez C. 181. Shrem D. (G) 32. Togni G.
Coaches
Cherundolo S.	Lozano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Bouanga D. ⚽, Ordaz N. (A),
29', Ordaz N. 🟥,
32', 1 - 1, Montiel E. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
35', Martinez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedraza P. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
46', Dominguez A. ↓, Alemao ↑,
54', Igor Jesus 🟨,
58', Aceves A. 🟨,
63', Rodriguez L. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
68', Igor Jesus ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,
68', Martinez D. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
76', Quinones L. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
83', Cadiz J. 🟥,
84', Montiel E. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
87', Hollingshead R. ↓, Raposo R. ↑,
87', Tillman T. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Bouanga D. (Pen),
1, Lopez J. (Pen),
2, Delgado M. (Pen),
2, Guzman V. (Pen),
3, Palencia S. (Pen),
3, Togni G. (Pen),
4, Segura E. (Pen),
4, Bautista A. (Pen),

Preview

Los Angeles has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pachuca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Los Angeles has had a series of home games.

In this match, Los Angeles is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Pachuca - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	Los Angeles - Mazatlan	1:2 penalties ✺
MLS
25.07.25	Los Angeles - Portland Timbers	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Los Angeles - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:3 ✺
16.07.25	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Los Angeles - FC Dallas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWW
- CF Pachuca
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	Pachuca - San Diego	3:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	UNAM - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
13.07.25	Pachuca - Monterrey	3:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
26.06.25	Al-Hilal - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL

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