Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 3

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Houston Dynamo		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	3.75	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.92	3.73	1.97
	3.45	3.59	2.02	Watch
	3.7	3.68	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.89)	3.6 ↑ (3.43)	1.93 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
25.4%

Draw
26%

Pachuca
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

26.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	5.9%	88.2%

Houston Dynamo - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 80.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Houston (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pachuca will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 10%). Pachuca (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 25. Dorsey G. 24. Awodesu F. 4. Bartlow E. 36. Felipe Andrade 14. Holmes D. 6. Artur (C) 30. Junior Urso 27. Kowalczyk S. 9. Lingr O. 21. McGlynn J.	25. Moreno C. (G) 14. Sanchez C. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 3. Aceves A. 28. Montiel E. 5. Pedraza P. 18. Dominguez A. 8. Guzman V. 23. Quinones L. 9. Hernandez I.
Substitutes
8. Bassi A. 16. Duenas E. 11. Ennali L. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 23. Halliday M. 1. Maurer J. (G) 12. Olusanya T. 22. Ortiz P. 35. Raines B. 34. Rodriguez S. 5. Steres D.	16. Alemao 26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 11. Idrissi O. 29. Kenedy 19. Lopez J. 15. Luna I. 24. Rodriguez L. 181. Shrem D. (G) 32. Togni G.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Lozano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Quinones L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Guzman V. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
46', McGlynn J. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
61', Quinones L. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
62', Hernandez I. ↓, Alemao ↑,
65', Dorsey G. ↓, Bassi A. ↑,
65', Lingr O. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
69', Sanchez C. ↓, Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↑,
74', Artur ↓, Raines B. ↑,
77', Pedraza P. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Bassi A. (Pen),
83', Felipe Andrade ↓, Steres D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Togni G. ⚽, Bautista A. (A),
90+1', Montiel E. 🟨,
90+5', Alemao 🟨,

Preview

Houston is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pachuca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pachuca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pachuca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
CONCACAF League Cup
01.08.25	Houston Dynamo - Mazatlan	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Tigres UANL - Houston Dynamo	4:1 ✺
MLS
19.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- CF Pachuca
CONCACAF League Cup
01.08.25	Los Angeles - Pachuca	2:1 penalties ✺
29.07.25	Pachuca - San Diego	3:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	UNAM - Pachuca	2:3 ✺
13.07.25	Pachuca - Monterrey	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League Cup
02.08.23	Houston Dynamo - Pachuca	1:0 penalties

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