Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Atletico Ascoli		Chieti

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.42	4.2	6.14
	1.45	4.15	6.19	Watch
	1.4	3.75	6.5
	1.4	4.05	7.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.6)	3.99 ↑ (3.83)	6.29 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Ascoli
63%

Draw
22.6%

Chieti
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Ascoli's performance.

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Atletico Ascoli - Chieti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atletico Ascoli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, El Yousfi M. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Maio F. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Minicucci M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Atletico Ascoli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chieti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atletico Ascoli is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atletico Ascoli won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atletico Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Atletico Ascoli	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.02.26	Recanatese - Atletico Ascoli	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Atletico Ascoli - San Marino Calcio	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ostia Mare - Atletico Ascoli	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWTT
- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.02.26	Chieti - Termoli	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ancona - Chieti	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Chieti - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	L Aquila - Chieti	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Chieti - Teramo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
26.10.25	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	0:3
06.04.25	Atletico Ascoli - Chieti	2:2
24.11.24	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	1:2
17.01.24	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	0:2
10.09.23	Atletico Ascoli - Chieti	0:0

Atletico Ascoli - Chieti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide