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Current Win Probability
Atletico Ascoli 64.6%
Draw 21.3%
Castelfidardo 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
23.2%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.2%
22.5%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Maio F. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Atletico Ascoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Atletico Ascoli is the clear favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atletico Ascoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.