Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 2

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.05	3.85
	1.93	3.19	4.15
	1.94	3.25	4.06	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.9
	1.91	3.06	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)	3.09 ↑ (3.02)	3.99 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
47.6%

Draw
29.5%

Tacuarembó
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

30.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

29.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tacuarembó will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Silva L. ⚽,
72', 0 - 2, Silva L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 1 - 2, Silveira J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 3.

Fenix is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tacuarembó has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tacuarembó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fenix is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Fenix will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLW
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.05.26	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:2
10.10.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	4:2
20.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0
22.03.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:1
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.02.15	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:1
23.08.14	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2

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