Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 1

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Where to Watch on TV:


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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Plaza Colonia		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.82	3
	2.39	2.84	3.11
	2.56	2.67	3.29	Watch
	2.38	2.7	3.1
	2.37	2.8	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)	2.77 ↓ (2.99)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
37.8%

Draw
33%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Fenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29

Last Results with these Odds

Plaza Colonia - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.67%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Miramar Misiones - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTWW
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.10.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:4
24.06.23	Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
06.03.23	Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1
05.09.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1
25.02.22	Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
01.08.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1
29.01.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:3

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