Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Segunda RFEF 🌤️ ...


	Atlético Astorga		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.20	2.20
	2.85	3.20	2.18
	3.02	3.20	2.31
	2.94	3.28	2.26	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.25
	2.82	3.34	2.41
	2.90	3.35	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.7)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	2.26 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
31.5%

Draw
28.1%

Gernika
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Atlético Astorga - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 10th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gernika	8	2	4	2	15:9	6	10
13	Atl. Astorga	8	2	1	5	11:12	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Gernika - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.10.26	Compostela - Atlético Astorga	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	Atlético Astorga - Ourense CF	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Astorga - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Sestao - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.10.26	Gernika - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Alavés B - Gernika	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Gernika - Sestao	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Coruxo - Gernika	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gernika - Llanera	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLTW

Atlético Astorga - Gernika: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide