The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Ourense 36.4%
Draw 40.4%
Pontevedra 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
27.1%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
26.4%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.
Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontevedra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+30.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontevedra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
10%
90%
UD Ourense - Pontevedra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pontevedra will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pontevedra will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vizoso M. (G) 22. de Prado S. 4. Labrada J. 3. Bueso P. 23. Prado R. 21. Jaichenco V. 20. Nieves V. 7. Migui 10. Vazquez O. 8. Nunez M. 9. Sanchez R.
1. Sousa E. (G) 2. Eimil V. 4. Bosch M. 15. Juanra 3. Exposito A. 14. Resende J. 5. Conesa N. 6. Ribeiro A. 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 20. Denia M.
Substitutes
11. Barbosa J. 16. Crespo Y. 27. Curras R. 17. Gamarra V. 15. Gonzalez N. 14. Martinez R. 19. Pardo S. 6. Parrilla P. 5. Puime L. 2. Varo
8. Abelenda B. 11. Cuesta M. 19. Garay B. 30. Gil R. 17. Macias L. 13. Marqueta R. (G) 23. Montoro A. 10. Pino Y. 24. Rodriguez T. 9. Selma D. 16. Vidorreta A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Conesa N. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Labrada J. ⚽, Migui (A),
17', Sanchez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Juanra 🟨,
56', Nunez M. 🟨,
61', Neives V. ↓, Parrilla P. ↑,
61', Vazquez O. ↓, Barbosa J. ↑,
61', Conesa N. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
61', Ribeiro A. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
71', Denia M. ↓, Vidorreta A. ↑,
71', Juanra ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
71', Resende J. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
72', Sanchez R. ↓, Puime L. ↑,
72', Prado R. ↓, Pardo S. ↑,
73', Pardo S. 🟨,
76', Barbosa J. 🟨,
83', Migui ↓, Gamarra V. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', de Prado S. ↓, Varo ↑,
95', Macias L. 🟨,
101', Varo 🟨,
106', Comparada Gonzalez A. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
118', Abelenda B. 🟨,
Penalties (0 - 3)
1, Parrilla P. (Pen),
1, Abelenda B. (Pen),
2, Puime L. (Pen),
2, Vidorreta A. (Pen),
3, Nunez M. (Pen),
3, Selma D. (Pen),
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
UD Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pontevedra is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Including home match between the teams, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Spain
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Vizoso M. (G) 
Prado R. 
Jaichenco V. 
Resende J. 
Macias L. 
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