Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	18:00	TV Centro America
El Salvador	15:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
North Central America	—	Centro America TV


	Atlético Balboa		Águila

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.30	1.90
	3.45	3.2	1.92
	3.77	3.5	1.94
	3.71	3.44	1.96	Watch
	3.65	3.15	1.89
	3.72	3.16	1.91
	3.5	3.3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Balboa
25.3%

Draw
27.6%

Águila
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.5%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Balboa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Balboa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Atlético Balboa - Águila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Andrada F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 0 - 2, Amaya B. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Tobar Y. ⚽,
90+14', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 4th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Atlético Balboa has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Águila shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Águila is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Atlético Balboa has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aguila	17	7	6	4	30:21	9	27
10	Atletico Balboa	17	3	5	9	16:28	-12	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
11.10.26	Atlético Balboa - CD FAS	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Isidro Metapán - Atlético Balboa	3:2 ✺
29.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Cacahuatique	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Atlético Balboa	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Atlético Balboa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTL
- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
11.10.26	Águila - Isidro Metapán	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Águila - Cacahuatique	4:1 ✺
30.09.26	Águila - Inter Santa Tecla	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
15.08.26	Águila - Atlético Balboa	2:4

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