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Current Win Probability
Atlético Bucaramanga 67.6%
Draw 21.2%
Boyacá Chicó 11.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.9%
21.2%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
15.5%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 2. Mena J. (C) 23. Romana C. 8. Hinestroza F. 21. Charrupi F. 20. Zarate A. 15. Batalla E. 10. Sambueza F. 7. Londono K. 27. Pons L.
23. Denis D. (G) 2. Saldana A. 25. Palma J. 18. Cabrera Y. 3. Quiceno J. 28. Diaz J. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 7. Montano I. 8. Salazar S. 29. Ruiz D. 9. Molina J. (C)
Substitutes
18. Alba I. 9. Caicedo B. 6. Charrupi G. 28. Flores L. 16. Matheus L. (G) 14. Mosquera J. 3. Rea M. 11. Salazar J.
6. Aedo A. 17. Caicedo O. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 22. Diaz Montes J. d. J. 13. Martinez Y. 16. Mera S. 20. Valencia N.
Coaches
Alvarez L.
Gomez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Pons L. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Sambueza F. ⚽,
30', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Sambueza F. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
45+3', Montano I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Charrupi F. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
46', Montano I. ↓, Mera S. ↑,
53', Zarate A. 🟨,
56', Diaz J. 🟨,
62', Gutierrez A. ↓, Alba I. ↑,
62', Zarate A. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
63', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,
64', Salazar S. ↓, Valencia N. ↑,
67', Quiceno J. 🟨,
71', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
74', Cabrera Y. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
82', Sambueza F. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽, Batalla E. (A),
85', Ruiz D. ↓, Aedo A. ↑,
90+3', Saldana A. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
90+6', 5 - 0, Palma J. (Own goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.
Bucaramanga has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Boyacá Chicó's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bucaramanga is the obvious favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).
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Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 
Sambueza F. 
Denis D. (G) 
Flores L. 
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