The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 42.3%
Draw 30.4%
Atlético Bucaramanga 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
29%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
30.7%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Junior (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 33. Monzon L. 98. Pena J. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 22. Rivas J. 88. Castrillon B. 20. Sarmiento J. 77. Barrios C. 29. Gutierrez T. (C)
12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 2. Mena J. (C) 4. Garcia J. 25. De Las Salas C. 6. Charrupi G. 21. Charrupi F. 7. Londono K. 10. Sambueza F. 11. Salazar J. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
70. Bacca C. 21. Canchimbo J. 30. Martinez J. (G) 10. Muriel L. 18. Perez K. 5. Rivera D. 7. Rivera H. 38. Shmalbach A. 19. Socarras D.
9. Caicedo B. 28. Flores L. 16. Matheus L. (G) 14. Mosquera J. 3. Rea M. 23. Romana C. 20. Zarate A.
Coaches
Arias A.
Alvarez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salazar J. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Gutierrez T. ⚽, Rivas J. (A),
48', Castrillon B. 🟨,
59', Castrillon B. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
62', De Las Salas C. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
62', Charrupi F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
65', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
65', Sarmiento J. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,
68', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
69', Charrupi G. 🟨,
71', Romana C. 🟨,
80', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
80', Barrios C. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
80', Rivas J. ↓, Shmalbach A. ↑,
86', Muriel L. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 0.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Bucaramanga
11
6
5
0
20:10
10
23
17
Junior
12
2
4
6
18:22
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 24.98%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.