Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CATARINENSE - ROUND 11

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Catarinense		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	9	5	1.26
	11	5.5	1.19
	10.79	5.11	1.2
	9.9	5.4	1.25
	10	5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.14 ↑ (5.86)	5.2 ↑ (3.4)	1.23 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Catarinense
8.9%

Draw
17.4%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
73.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.6%

26.8%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

26.5%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Catarinense's form might have worsened.

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Catarinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Catarinense - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Catarinense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marcílio Dias is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Marcílio Dias is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Catarinense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
07.03.23	Criciúma - Atlético Catarinense	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Chapecoense - Atlético Catarinense	3:1 ✺
16.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Avaí	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Concórdia - Atlético Catarinense	3:0 ✺
09.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Joinville	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.03.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
18.02.23	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brusque	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Chapecoense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTL

Atlético Catarinense - Náutico Marcílio Dias

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Atlético Catarinense - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions

Preview

Form

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