Match Info

PANAMA: LPF - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Atlético Chiriquí		Alianza Panama

	1	X	2
	3.57	3.17	2.07
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.48	3.22	2.05
	3.3	3.15	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.27)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.11 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Chiriquí
27.5%

Draw
29%

Alianza Panama
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Chiriquí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Chiriquí's form might have worsened.

Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Panama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Chiriquí than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Chiriquí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Panama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Chiriquí - Alianza Panama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dussan A. (G) 4. Aparicio R. 2. Justiniani M. 30. Ortega Y. 22. Guerra R. 20. De la Espada J. 18. Florez J. 27. Lopez R. 37. Aizpu A. 9. Saavedra M. 86. Gonzalez E.	30. Melgar K. (G) 23. Beltran L. 2. Villegas C. 12. Cano J. 18. Perdomo R. 5. Rodriguez R. 22. Rodriguez M. 6. Asprilla J. 10. Rodriguez R. 21. Navas C. 20. Guardia H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiriquí won 0.

Chiriquí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alianza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chiriquí could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alianza will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Chiriquí won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Chiriquí won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Chiriquí
Liga Panamena de Futbol
19.08.23	Atlético Chiriquí - Herrera	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	San Francisco - Atlético Chiriquí	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Independiente de la Chorrera - Atlético Chiriquí	4:0 ✺
30.07.23	Atlético Chiriquí - UMECIT	1:4 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Universitario - Atlético Chiriquí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLLT
- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
20.08.23	Tauro - Alianza Panama	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Alianza Panama - Potros del Este	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
26.02.23	Alianza Panama - Atlético Chiriquí	2:1
24.09.22	Alianza Panama - Atlético Chiriquí	4:0
21.05.22	Atlético Chiriquí - Alianza Panama	1:1
14.05.22	Alianza Panama - Atlético Chiriquí	1:0
09.04.22	Atlético Chiriquí - Alianza Panama	1:1
10.09.21	Alianza Panama - Atlético Chiriquí	2:1
20.03.21	Atlético Chiriquí - Alianza Panama	2:0

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