Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Javier Cruz (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Alianza Panama		Potros del Este

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.14	2.95	3.4
	2.2	3.06	3.52	Watch
	2.11	3.02	3.41	Watch
	2.14	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)	2.99 ↓ (3.27)	3.41 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Panama
42.8%

Draw
30.5%

Potros del Este
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

23.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Potros del Este has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potros del Este than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potros del Este could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alianza Panama - Potros del Este Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Melgar K. (G)
10. Diaz A.
19. Diaz M.
27. Frias A.
26. Garces J.
2. Machado A.
49. McClymont R.
13. Mendoza A.
18. Perdomo R.
22. Rodriguez M.
29. Yearwood A.
Substitutes
28. Alvarado J.
9. Espinoza I.
1. Gonzalez J. (G)
20. Herrera R.
16. Mitre R.
8. Rangel G.
23. Rodriguez R.
12. Spencer D.
14. Valderrama O.
6. Wright D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Galvez A. 🟨,
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garces J. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
46', Diaz M. ↓, Mitre R. ↑,
54', Berguido R. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
60', McKenzie A. 🟨,
63', McClymont R. ↓, Espinoza I. ↑,
64', Holness A. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, McKenzie A. ⚽,
77', Alvarado J. ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
83', 🟨,
83', Herrera R. 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza won 0.

Recent matches Alianza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Potros del Este is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Potros del Este could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alianza have a series of guest games.

Alianza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:24 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
05.04.25	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	3:3 ✺
28.03.25	San Francisco - Alianza Panama	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Herrera - Alianza Panama	2:2 ✺
17.03.25	Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWTLL
- Potros del Este
Liga Panamena de Futbol
07.04.25	Árabe Unido - Potros del Este	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Potros del Este - Deportivo Universitario	1:3 ✺
21.03.25	Veraguas - Potros del Este	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Herrera - Potros del Este	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Potros del Este - San Francisco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
09.02.25	Potros del Este - Alianza Panama	1:1
06.10.24	Potros del Este - Alianza Panama	2:0
04.08.24	Alianza Panama - Potros del Este	0:0
17.04.24	Alianza Panama - Potros del Este	0:0
27.01.24	Potros del Este - Alianza Panama	1:1
22.10.23	Potros del Este - Alianza Panama	2:3
11.08.23	Alianza Panama - Potros del Este	2:1

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