The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta 9.2%
Draw 17.8%
Atlético Goianiense 73%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
12.5%
20.8%
66.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.9%
19.9%
69.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 23. Palacios S. 15. Gabriel Caran 32. Di Mauro F. 14. Danilo Barcelos (C) 5. Rodrigo Souza 18. David da Hora 8. Karl 35. Gustavo Telles 19. Danilo Peu 9. Brandao
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Leandro Vilela 8. Netinho 7. Geovany Soares 10. Guilherme 11. Gustavo Maia 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
2. Andrade R. 4. Diego M. L. 7. Ferreira E. 13. Guilherme Martins 1. Guilherme Viana (G) 6. Juan Rodrigues 16. Kawann 17. Nicolas Araujo 20. Thevyn 21. Vitor Ribeiro
13. Alves Y. (G) 20. Bruno Jose 15. Cristiano 16. Henrique Freitas 18. Joao Pedro 19. Matheusinho 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 17. Peixoto 14. Tito
Coaches
Gilson Kleina
Roger Silva
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Palacios S. 🟨,
32', Barreto Viera O. J. 🟨,
38', Danilo Barcelos 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, David da Hora ⚽, Rodrigo Souza (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guilherme ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
46', Leandro Vilela ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
51', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
61', Karl ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
63', Ewerthon ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
73', Andrade R. 🟨,
74', David da Hora ↓, Ferreira E. ↑,
76', Guilherme ↓, Alves Y. ↑,
84', Alves Y. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, Bruno Jose (A),
90', Danilo Peu ↓, Juan Rodrigues ↑,
90', Gustavo Telles ↓, Diego M. L. ↑,
90+3', Andrade R. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 0.
Ponte Preta is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Atlético GO have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, Atlético GO enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Confirmed absences for Ponte Preta: Andre Lima
(Injury)
Denis
(Red Card)
Elvis
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Almeida
(Red Card)
Kevyson
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Atlético GO: Gustavo Maia
(Inactive)
Warley
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Ponte Preta: Jonathan
(Inactive)
Souza M.
(Inactive).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:25 (averaging 0.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ponte Preta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 1.3:2.2 per game).
Brazil
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Vinicius Ferrari (G) 
Palacios S. 
Barreto Viera O. J. 
Joao Pedro 
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