Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 35

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)


	Atlético Goianiense		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
	2.32	3.15	3.3
	2.26	3.1	3.15
	2.32	3.27	3.44
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.27	3.22	3.24	Watch
	2.28	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
41.5%

Draw
29.9%

Santos
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	40%	15%

Atlético Goianiense - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).

Atlético GO has the most likely position - 18 (43.35%), has project points - 38, has currently - 33, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has not chance of win league.

Santos has the most likely position - 12 (25.52%), has project points - 49, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 48, importance 38, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético GO will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlético GO: Airton (Red Card) Emerson Santos (Injury) Ramon Menezes (Injury) Ronaldo (Injury)

There will not play in Santos: Maicon (Injury) Yeferson Soteldo (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
27.10.22	São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
10.10.22	Atlético Goianiense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
05.10.22	Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTTW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
25.10.22	Flamengo - Santos	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Santos - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
17.10.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	0:2 ✺
10.10.22	Santos - Juventude	4:1 ✺
05.10.22	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
10.07.22	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
13.11.21	Atlético Goianiense - Santos	0:0
25.07.21	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
06.02.21	Atlético Goianiense - Santos	1:1
14.10.20	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
Copa do Brasil
11.04.19	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	3:0
04.04.19	Atlético Goianiense - Santos	1:0

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