The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flamengo 70.8%
Draw 20%
Santos 9.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.5%
20.6%
10.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
19.6%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Flamengo - Santos Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 52. Evertton Araujo 21. Jorginho 15. Carrascal J. 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 2. Ze Ivaldo 4. Lucas Verissimo (C) 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 28. Oliva C. 48. Gustavo Henrique 16. Thaciano 22. Barreal A. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 19. Diaz L.
Substitutes
27. Bruno Henrique 51. Daniel Sales 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 18. de la Cruz N. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 20. Lucas Paqueta 7. Luiz Araujo 19. Plata G. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan
1. Diogenes (G) 98. Frias A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Moises 38. Rafael Gonzaga 8. Rincon T. 7. Robinho Jr. 67. Rodrigo Falcao (G) 32. Rollheiser B. 15. Willian Arao 6. Ze Rafael
Coaches
Jardim L.
Cuca
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Oliva C. (A),
53', Gabriel Bontempo 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Ze Ivaldo (Own goal),
65', Evertton Araujo ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
65', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
69', Barreal A. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
72', Thaciano ↓, Moises ↑,
72', Ze Ivaldo ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
72', Oliva C. ↓, Willian Arao ↑,
81', Carrascal J. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
82', Pedro ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
82', Barreal A. ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
86', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Plata G. (A),
90+6', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
Flamengo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Bruno Henrique
(Groin Injury)
Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Barbosa
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel Menino
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayke
(Knee Injury)
Neymar
(Yellow Cards)
Rony
(Yellow Cards)
Vinicius Lira
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Flamengo: Pedro
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
Brazil
Ecuador
Suriname
World
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Rossi A. (G) 
Varela G. 
Leo Ortiz 
Jorginho 
Carrascal J. 
Plata G. 
Rincon T. 
Jardim L. 
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