Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 35

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Israel	Sport 3
Peru	L1 Max
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Fanatiz, Sport 1 Baltic


	Atlético Goianiense		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.33	Watch
	7.75	5	1.37
	8.5	5	1.35	Watch
	8.6	5.44	1.36
	8.02	5.2	1.36	Watch
	12	5.5	1.22
	8.5	5	1.36	Watch
	8.5	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.73 ↑ (6.78)	5.17 ↑ (4.4)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
10.8%

Draw
18.3%

Palmeiras
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

21.4%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

20.3%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Atlético Goianiense - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Adriano Martins 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Roni 8. Baralhas (C) 7. Rhaldney 10. Cruz A. 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Jan Hurtado	21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 44. Vitor Reis 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) 16. Caio Paulista 5. Moreno A. 27. Rios R. 23. Raphael Veiga 41. Estevao 9. Felipe Anderson 10. Rony
Substitutes
17. Campbell J. 20. Derek 16. Freitas G. 14. Haller R. 19. Janderson 18. Lacava M. 13. Maguinho 15. Pedro Henrique 12. Pedro Rangel (G)	7. Dudu 35. Fabinho 42. Flaco Lopez 25. Gabriel Menino 17. Lazaro 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 18. Mauricio 12. Mayke 34. Naves 20. Romulo 6. Vanderlan 8. Ze Rafael
Coaches
Gomes A.	Ferreira A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Baralhas 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Raphael Veiga ⚽, Estevao (A),
39', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Jan Hurtado ↓, Derek ↑,
62', Rony ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
62', Raphael Veiga ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
64', Roni 🟨,
73', Cruz A. ↓, Janderson ↑,
73', Roni ↓, Maguinho ↑,
74', Moreno A. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
74', Caio Paulista ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
83', Rhaldney ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
83', Luiz Fernando ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
89', Vanderlan 🟨,
89', Estevao ↓, Fabinho ↑,
90+5', Flaco Lopez 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 0.

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmeiras is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Injury) Piquerez J. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:29 (average 0.8:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.24	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Atlético Goianiense - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
06.11.24	Atlético Goianiense - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
18.10.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWLT
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.24	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Palmeiras - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Corinthians - Palmeiras	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Juventude - Palmeiras	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.07.24	Palmeiras - Atlético Goianiense	3:1
10.10.22	Atlético Goianiense - Palmeiras	1:1
16.06.22	Palmeiras - Atlético Goianiense	4:2
10.11.21	Palmeiras - Atlético Goianiense	4:0
18.07.21	Atlético Goianiense - Palmeiras	0:3
22.02.21	Palmeiras - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
25.10.20	Atlético Goianiense - Palmeiras	0:3

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