The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 43.1%
Draw 24.9%
Cancún 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
25.5%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
25.7%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cancún might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cancún could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Atlético La Paz - Cancún Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Atlético La Paz (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Estrada J. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 92. Alvarez D. 10. Barragan M. 5. Bass A. 16. Del Aguila Y. 27. Garcia G. 6. Hernandez D. 12. Millan O. 15. Torres H. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.
1. Andrade C. (G) 7. Alonzo J. 5. Chavez A. 9. Diaz J. 23. Galindo B. 3. Hernandez J. 17. Padilla E. 12. Rodriguez J. 11. Trejo C. 10. Uscanga P. 30. Zabala L.
Substitutes
33. Alcala G. (G) 17. Chiu L. 24. Cota A. 22. Flores R. 14. Galindo A. 8. Gutierrez L. 19. Jaimes U. 11. Renteria R. 3. Rodriguez G. 26. Yanez J.
26. Arce E. (G) 14. Campos K. 8. Melendre F. 18. Montiel S. 6. Ochoa I. 4. Reyes R. 28. Solano A. 22. Soria E. 24. Unjanque J.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Bravo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽, Zabala L. (A),
9', 0 - 2, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
29', Padilla E. 🟨,
30', 1 - 2, Barragan M. ⚽, Bass A. (A),
37', 1 - 3, Trejo C. ⚽, Padilla E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Padilla E. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
59', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
64', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Alvarez D. ⚽, Torres H. (A),
68', 2 - 4, Trejo C. ⚽,
79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
79', Galindo B. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
82', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
89', Bass A. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
90+2', 🟥,
90+3', Trejo C. 🟨,
90+5', Trejo C. ↓, Unjanque J. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).