The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Cancún 48.8%
Draw 24.9%
Venados 26.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.2%
22.3%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
23.3%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cancún's form might have worsened.
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cancún, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Cancún - Venados Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arce E. (G) 3. Hernandez J. 4. Reyes R. 33. Ruiz L. 2. Alvarez A. 14. Campos K. 6. Cortes J. 5. Chavez A. 10. Uscanga P. (C) 11. Trejo C. 12. Rodriguez J.
3. Perez S. (G) 32. Aguilar M. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 14. Montiel S. 31. Dominguez I. 18. Amador K. 5. Naveda S. 11. Tejeda D. 8. Kilani P. 7. Reyes J. 29. Lora S. (C)
Substitutes
9. Gigena T. 16. Lomeli D. 17. Lopez L. 8. Melendre F. 18. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 135. Perez G. 19. Preciado G. 139. Salaya De La Cruz C. 24. Vela C.
27. Benitez S. 33. Canto J. 23. Castellanos R. (G) 20. Cruz J. 10. Dominguez A. 16. Macias L. 13. Ochoa Brandon 34. Saucedo S. 6. Torres E. 30. Torres M.
Coaches
Bravo M.
Castro N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Amador K. 🟨,
34', Dominguez I. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽, Campos K. (A),
40', Amador K. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
42', Montiel S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Uscanga P. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
60', Aguilar M. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
69', Cortes J. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
69', Campos K. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
71', Chavez A. 🟨,
79', Montiel S. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
79', Tejeda D. ↓, Canto J. ↑,
80', Chavez A. 🟨,
85', Trejo C. 🟥,
87', Arce E. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gigena T. ↑,
90', Ruiz L. ↓, Vela C. ↑,
90', Bravo M. 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 1, Lora S. ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
In recent outings, Cancún has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Venados shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Venados could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cancún holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Cancún has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:22 (averaging 0.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cancún against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).