Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 9

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Ring
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Vizela		Porto

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.4	Watch
	6.75	4.5	1.43	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.42	Watch
	6.4	4.55	1.45
	8	4.88	1.43
	7.5	4.5	1.4	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.41	Watch
	7	4.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.21 ↑ (6.24)	4.63 ↑ (4.49)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
13.1%

Draw
20.4%

Porto
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21.1%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

20.9%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.9%	0.7%	95.4%

Vizela - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (146 of 153 users predict this - 95.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.11% – 98.73%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 82. Costa Silva T. 3. Wilson Valdez B. R. 5. Anderson Jesus 6. Matheus Pereira 20. Samu (C) 22. Busnic A. 17. Lacava M. 90. Nascimento D. 79. Moreira N. 99. Essende S.	99. Costa D. (G) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Pepe (C) 4. Carmo D. 23. Joao Mario 10. Conceicao F. 6. Eustaquio S. 22. Varela A. 11. Pepê 9. Taremi M. 30. Evanilson
Substitutes
12. Bustamante R. 25. Escoval R. 7. Jardel 8. Mendez A. 2. Oliveira H. 34. Ortiz P. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 14. Saint-Louis D. 29. Soro A.	70. Borges G. 2. Cardoso F. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 19. Danny Namaso 20. Franco A. 8. Grujic M. 29. Martinez T. 55. Mendes J. 16. Nico
Coaches
Villar P.	Conceicao S.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vizela won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vizela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Porto is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Vizela: Lebedenko O. (Injury) Mrezigue H. (Injury)

There will not play in Porto: Marcano I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Ivan Jaime (Muscle Injury) Zaidu (Thigh Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Atlético CP - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.10.23	Farense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Vizela - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Vizela - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLTL
- FC Porto
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Royal Antwerp - Porto	1:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Porto	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Porto - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Porto - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.09.23	Benfica - Porto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
05.02.23	Porto - Vizela	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Porto - Vizela	4:0
Liga Portugal
14.08.22	Vizela - Porto	0:1
30.04.22	Porto - Vizela	4:2
Taça de Portugal
12.01.22	Vizela - Porto	1:3
Liga Portugal
19.12.21	Vizela - Porto	0:4

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