Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	UCAM Murcia		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
				Watch
	3.55	2.98	2.12
	7.56	4.18	1.42	Watch
	3.61	3.16	2.11
	3.55	3.3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.62)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	1.95 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
22%

Draw
28.6%

Cádiz
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.4%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

27%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cádiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

UCAM Murcia - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - UCAM Murcia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. UCAM Murcia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cádiz (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ackermann F. (G) 2. Ruiz J. 6. Jaiteh O. 4. Javi Ramirez (C) 23. Perez M. 17. Bueno A. 19. Juanma Bravo 18. Pontones J. 8. Urcelay 7. Alvarito 11. Aquino D.	1. Gil D. (C) 2. Moreno J. 27. Fernandez P. 6. Ortega I. 33. Pereira R. 24. Gonzalez J. 5. Diakite M. 12. Tabatadze I. 18. Diarra Y. 10. Ocampo B. 9. Marti R.
Substitutes
31. Canto S. 33. Farre N. 5. Fernando 10. Gonzalez N. 14. Hernandez P. 9. Julito 16. Marin A. 22. Mizzian M. 35. Mustienes S. (G) 20. Soto A. 32. Vila X.	13. Aznar V. (G) 17. Camara D. 21. Climent M. 19. de la Rosa J. 34. Diaz J. 8. Fernandez A. 14. Kovacevic B. 22. Ontiveros J. 15. Ortuno S. 26. Perez F. (G) 7. Ugiagbe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Marti R. ⚽, Tabatadze I. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Alvarito (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Diarra Y. (Pen),
69', 1 - 2, Marti R. ⚽, Tabatadze I. (A),
77', 1 - 3, Diaz J. ⚽, Camara D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 2.

UCAM Murcia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cádiz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cádiz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Granada - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Cádiz - Burgos	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cádiz - Huesca	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.17	UCAM Murcia - Cádiz	1:1
23.10.16	Cádiz - UCAM Murcia	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.05.16	Cádiz - UCAM Murcia	0:2
19.12.15	UCAM Murcia - Cádiz	2:0
15.02.15	Cádiz - UCAM Murcia	1:0
28.09.14	UCAM Murcia - Cádiz	1:0
03.03.13	Cádiz - UCAM Murcia	2:2

Upcoming Matches