Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Malaysia	Mola
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Atlético Mineiro		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	8	Watch
	1.35	4.45	8.3	Watch
	1.38	4.59	9.52
	1.55	3.61	6.88	Watch
	1.42	4.73	8.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.28)	4.34 ↓ (5.47)	8.29 ↓ (9.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
66.8%

Draw
21.8%

Bolívar
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

17.1%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 4. Lyanco (C) 14. Vitor Hugo 23. Roman I. 10. Gustavo Scarpa 5. Alexsander 21. Franco A. 13. Guilherme Arana 17. Igor Gomes 18. Reinier 7. Hulk	1. Lampe C. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 3. Torren M. 5. Echeverria S. 4. Sagredo J. 99. Batallini D. 14. Robson Matheus 6. Vaca Moreno E. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 10. Catano D. 9. Cauteruccio M.
Substitutes
11. Bernard 77. Biel 38. Caio Paulista 92. Dudu 8. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 25. Gabriel Menino 19. Joao Marcelo 37. Junior Santos 33. Rony 16. Ruan Tressoldi 40. Vitao	33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 80. Melgar C. A. 7. Mena F. 25. Mendez D. (G) 17. Pato Rodriguez 8. Paz L. 35. Rivero E. 77. Romero D. 26. Saavedra E. 29. Velasquez J. 21. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Sampaoli J.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Alexsander ↓, Bernard ↑,
20', Igor Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Reinier ↓, Rony ↑,
74', Roman I. ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
74', Hulk ↓, Biel ↑,
74', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
80', Catano D. 🟨,
82', Fausto Vera 🟨,
83', Batallini D. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
84', Catano D. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
88', Biel 🟨,
88', Torren M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Bernard ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
90+3', Bernard 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

Recent form of Atlético MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bolívar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.

Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlético MG is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.25	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.09.25	Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.09.25	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.09.25	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.08.25	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.09.25	Bolívar - ABB	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.09.25	Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.09.25	Bolívar - Guabirá	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.08.25	Bolívar - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.08.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
17.09.25	Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro	2:2

Upcoming Matches