Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Paso		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.38
	3	2.7	2.37
	3.2	2.8	2.45
	3.15	2.6	2.24
	3.15	2.52	2.56
	3.09	2.84	2.48
	3.1	2.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.21)	2.72 ↓ (3)	2.41 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
29.2%

Draw
33.3%

Numancia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Paso's form might have worsened.

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Paso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Paso - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Illescas - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Badajoz - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Paso - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Atlético Paso - Montijo	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWWL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Numancia - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Montijo - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Numancia - Cacereño	5:1 ✺
16.12.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Numancia - Atlético Paso	3:1

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