Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Numancia		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.72	3.5	4.5
	1.81	3.25	3.85
	1.72	3.42	4.28
	1.73	3	4.6
	1.66	3.6	5.03
	1.76	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.35 ↑ (3)	4.4 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
52.4%

Draw
27%

Llerenense
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

30%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

29.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Numancia - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Numancia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Llerenense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llerenense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.01.24	Montijo - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Numancia - Cacereño	5:1 ✺
16.12.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTW
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.01.24	Llerenense - Illescas	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Paso - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Llerenense - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Montijo - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Llerenense - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.09.23	Llerenense - Numancia	0:2

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