Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Montijo		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	3.75	3.3	1.95
	4.06	3.44	1.85
	4.6	3.3	1.65
	4.31	3.32	1.84
	3.65	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.75)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
23.2%

Draw
27.9%

Numancia
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

27.4%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

26.7%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montijo - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Montijo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Montijo have a series of guest games.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montijo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.01.24	Illescas - Montijo	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Atlético Paso - Montijo	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Montijo - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Badajoz - Montijo	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WLLTL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Numancia - Cacereño	5:1 ✺
16.12.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.09.23	Numancia - Montijo	1:2

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