The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 41.6%
Draw 27.3%
Atlas 31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
26.2%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Necaxa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Atlas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 6th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
Necaxa has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Atlas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Necaxa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:31 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Necaxa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:18 goals (averaging 1.1:1.8 per game).
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Atlas: 5.54% Necaxa: 0.83%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Atlas
10
5
2
3
16:17
-1
17
17
Necaxa
10
2
2
6
12:20
-8
8
Last Results with these Odds
Necaxa - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.