The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 28%
Draw 26.1%
Atlas 45.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.6%
27.3%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
26.5%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Necaxa - Atlas Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Atlas will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
181. Orantes J. (G) 2. Martinez E. 15. Ochoa D. 3. Oliveros A. (C) 88. Vargas C. 16. Pedraza P. 99. Rodriguez E. 6. Leyva D. 21. Espindola M. 13. Gonzalez O. 9. Carranza J.
12. Vargas C. (C) 3. Sanchez J. 19. Frias A. 44. Sanchez J. 16. Valenzuela M. 18. Montiel E. 15. Ramirez P. 20. Zenon K. 10. Esteves L. 9. Monzon F. 8. Mmaee R.
Substitutes
1. Andrade C. (G) 208. Becerra L. 17. Cortez R. 8. Faravelli L. 33. Martinez R. 5. Naves 210. Palacios J. 27. Pedroza M. 10. Ruiz J. 90. Valencia J.
13. Aguirre G. 28. Capasso M. 58. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez S. 203. Martin J. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 26. Rocha A. 5. Rodriguez J. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 6. Zaldivar E.
Coaches
Reynoso J.
Crespo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Mmaee R. ⚽, Monzon F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Espindola M. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
67', Valenzuela M. 🟥,
70', Mmaee R. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
74', Martinez E. ↓, Becerra L. ↑,
74', Pedraza P. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
76', Esteves L. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
76', Zenon K. ↓, Capasso M. ↑,
77', Frias A. 🟨,
82', Gonzalez O. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
82', Vargas C. ↓, Pedroza M. ↑,
85', Sanchez J. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Capasso M. ⚽,
90+3', Ochoa D. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th and 6th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
Necaxa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Atlas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Atlas: Duk
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:31 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Necaxa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:18 goals (averaging 1.1:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Atlas
14
7
3
4
25:26
-1
24
17
Necaxa
14
2
4
8
16:27
-11
10
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Atlas: 2.72% Necaxa: 0.06%
Last Results with these Odds
Necaxa - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Orantes J. (G) 
Oliveros A. (C) 
Leyva D. 
Espindola M. 
Vargas C. (C) 
Esteves L. 
Mmaee R. 
Naves 
Reynoso J. 
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