The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 59.4%
Draw 22.9%
Puebla 17.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
25.2%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
24.6%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlas's performance.
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Atlas - Puebla Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (C) 3. Sanchez J. 19. Frias A. 28. Capasso M. 5. Rodriguez J. 18. Montiel E. 15. Ramirez P. 20. Zenon K. 10. Esteves L. 9. Monzon F. 8. Mmaee R.
28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 24. Organista A. 16. Ramirez A. 27. Garnica B. 14. Armenta E. 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. 9. Hernandez L.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre G. 58. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez S. 203. Martin J. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 26. Rocha A. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 44. Sanchez J. 16. Valenzuela M. 6. Zaldivar E.
6. Diaz J. 3. Herrera A. 34. Lucas Camilo 19. Maestro I. 29. Mustre E. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 10. Tomas M. 26. Velasco K. 15. Villa O.
Coaches
Crespo H.
Espinoza G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Monzon F. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Hernandez L. ⚽,
22', Organista A. 🟨,
42', Montiel E. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Mmaee R. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Sanchez J. (Own goal),
63', 2 - 2, Zenon K. ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
67', Ramirez P. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
67', Rodriguez J. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
67', Hernandez L. ↓, Mustre E. ↑,
68', 3 - 2, Martin J. ⚽, Zenon K. (A),
72', Ramirez A. 🟨,
75', Monzon F. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
78', Ramirez A. 🟨,
79', 4 - 2, Martin J. ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
83', Monarrez F. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
83', Garnica B. ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
83', Moreno I. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
84', 4 - 3, Moreno Villegas O. F. ⚽, Organista A. (A),
88', Organista A. ↓, Tomas M. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 4.
Atlas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Puebla has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Atlas is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Atlas: Duk
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Zenon K.
(Abdominal strain).
Doubtful / questionable for Puebla: Baltazar C.
(Injury)
Sanabria S.
(Muscle Injury)
Velasco K.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:21 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 10:11 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).
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Vargas C. (C) 
Sanchez J. 
Frias A. 
Esteves L. 
Mmaee R. 
Vargas J. (C) 
Hernandez L. 
Lucas Camilo 
Tomas M. 
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