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Current Win Probability
Atlas 29.2%
Draw 26.2%
Club América 44.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.2%
27.1%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
27.4%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Atlas - Club América Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (C) 3. Sanchez J. 19. Frias A. 44. Sanchez J. 16. Valenzuela M. 18. Montiel E. 15. Ramirez P. 58. Gonzalez A. 10. Esteves L. 9. Monzon F. 8. Mmaee R.
1. Malagon L. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 14. Bueno S. 15. Ramos S. 24. Rossano F. 28. Sanchez E. 3. Reyes I. 10. Zendejas A. (C) 8. Alvarez C. 7. Rodriguez B. 93. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
13. Aguirre G. 28. Capasso M. 23. Hernandez S. 17. Lozano J. 203. Martin J. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 26. Rocha A. 5. Rodriguez J. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 6. Zaldivar E.
6. Cerrillo E. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 217. Icaro 2. Lara E. 9. Martin H. 22. Perea O. 32. Vazquez M. 12. Violante I.
Coaches
Crespo H.
Almada G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
22', Rossano F. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Miguel Borja ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Sanchez E. ⚽, Alvarez C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Alvarez C. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Rodriguez B. ⚽, Zendejas A. (A),
63', 0 - 4, Zendejas A. ⚽,
68', Miguel Borja ↓, Martin H. ↑,
68', Zendejas A. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
68', Ramirez P. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
68', Monzon F. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Esteves L. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Rossano F. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
77', Reyes I. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
78', 2 - 4, Mmaee R. ⚽, Hernandez S. (A),
79', Valenzuela M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
79', 2 - 5, Alvarez K. ⚽,
85', Sanchez J. 🟨,
85', Montiel E. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
90+4', Hernandez S. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with América holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Atlas: Duk
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Juarez R.
(Injury)
Raphael Veiga
(Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:35 (averaging 0.9:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 10:20 goals (averaging 1.1:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Club America
13
8
3
2
33:18
15
27
4
Atlas
14
7
3
4
25:26
-1
24
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Club America: 20.9% Atlas: 4.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Club América - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.67%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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Vargas C. (C) 
Sanchez J. 
Frias A. 
Esteves L. 
Mmaee R. 
Bueno S. 
Zendejas A. (C) 
Alvarez C. 
Icaro 
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