Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Tigre		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	4.2	Watch
	2.05	2.95	4
	2.15	2.92	3.9	Watch
	2.19	2.98	4.22
	2.13	2.97	4.07
	2.1	2.8	3.9
	2.11	2.91	4.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)	2.91 ↑ (2.82)	4.04 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
44.5%

Draw
32.3%

Gimnasia La Plata
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

32.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

31.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tigre (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tigre will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 5. Leyes B. 30. Elias J. 10. Saralegui J. 22. Lopez S. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.	23. Insfran N. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 5. Miramon I. 16. Max A. 10. Barros Schelotto B. 8. Fernandez N. 7. Panaro M. 32. Torres M.
Substitutes
42. Arias R. 3. Banegas N. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 28. Martinez P. 21. Medina S. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 50. Peluffo I. 11. Serrago T. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.	33. Aguiar P. 29. Auzmendi A. 19. Castro L. 35. Cortazzo J. 30. De Asis J. 14. Errecalde G. 2. Gonzalez G. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 6. Mastrangelo D. 22. Melluso M. 11. Merlo J. 26. Torres F.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Zaniratto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Martinez E. ⚽, Barros Schelotto B. (A),
35', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Romero D. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
38', 1 - 2, Torres M. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
43', Miramon I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Barros Schelotto B. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Barrionuevo A. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
60', Barros Schelotto B. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
62', Miramon I. ↓, Mastrangelo D. ↑,
74', Mastrangelo D. 🟨,
74', Panaro M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
74', Torres M. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
75', Fernandez N. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
79', Lopez S. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
79', Saralegui J. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
83', Martinez P. 🟨,
85', Torres F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 2.

Tigre is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tigre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tigre: Cabrera E. (Inactive) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Guiffrey G. (Inactive) Lezcano S. (Inactive) Rivero S. G. (Knee Injury) Soto G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Schelotto N. (Red Card) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury) Zalazar M. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.26	Barracas Central - Tigre	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Central Córdoba - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	Tigre - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Tigre - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	River Plate - Tigre	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTWWW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.24	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1
29.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	1:1
25.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	0:1
01.02.19	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	3:1
06.04.18	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
18.03.17	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
19.09.15	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	1:1

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