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Current Win Probability
Independiente Medellín 72.3%
Draw 18.8%
Patriotas 8.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
23.5%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.1%
22.8%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.
Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Independiente Medellín - Patriotas Predictions
Users Predictions:
Independiente Medellín will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 23. Torijano F. (C) 45. Fory J. 6. Mosquera J. 14. Perlaza B. 15. Alvarado J. 31. Moreno D. 20. Montano J. 27. Leon Muniz B. 9. Sandoval L.
32. Valencia J. (G) 25. De Las Salas C. 20. Ruiz D. 21. Guerrero J. 4. Alarcon A. 6. Diaz J. 24. Victoria Palacios D. S. 30. Paternina C. 27. Melendez A. 10. Viveros J. 19. Martinez C. (C)
Substitutes
13. Chaverra F. 16. Davila A. 8. Garcia M. 1. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 11. Gonzalez J. 33. Londono D. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E.
13. Aristizabal Juan 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 16. Correa B. 11. Gomez M. 7. Moreno S. 9. Rodriguez J. 1. Roman S. (G)
Coaches
Restrepo A.
Perez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Martinez C. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Chaverra L. (Pen),
42', Diaz J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
45+2', Perlaza B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Alarcon A. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Montano J. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
63', Paternina C. ↓, Aristizabal Juan ↑,
69', Perlaza B. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Mosquera J. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
79', Leon Muniz B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
79', Montano J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
79', Moreno D. ↓, Londono D. ↑,
82', Viveros J. ↓, Bello Vivas S. E. ↑,
82', Melendez A. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
83', Martinez C. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
83', Sandoval L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 4.
Ind Medellín is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Patriotas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Patriotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ind Medellín is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ind Medellín to win the game is with odds 1.32.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35:17 (average 1.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:7 (average 2.5:0.7).
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