Match Info

Date: 12 June 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético de Alagoinhas		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.5
	2.1	3	3.5
	2	3.15	3.45
	2.08	3.25	3.67
	2	3	3.6
	2.06	2.99	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)	3.04 ↓ (3.34)	3.58 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas
44.4%

Draw
30%

Itabaiana
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

20.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Alagoinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Preview

Atlético de Alagoinhas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Itabaiana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Itabaiana have a series of home games.

Atlético de Alagoinhas will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Atlético de Alagoinhas to win the game is with odds 2.13.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Serie D
06.06.21	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
23.05.21	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:3 ✺
16.05.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	2:2 ✺
12.05.21	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:1 penalties ✺
09.05.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Juazeirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWTWW
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
06.06.21	Itabaiana - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
09.05.21	Itabaiana - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
06.05.21	Lagarto - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
01.05.21	Itabaiana - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Itabaiana - Confiança	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Itabaiana

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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