Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Atzeneta		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.6
	6.5	3.6	1.61	Watch
	6	3.5	1.6	Watch
	6.11	3.37	1.58
	6.18	3.23	1.58
	5.8	3.6	1.5	Watch
	6.25	3.66	1.59	Watch
	6	3.55	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↓ (9.81)	3.54 ↓ (4.63)	1.58 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atzeneta
15.2%

Draw
26.2%

Zaragoza
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.5%

20.2%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

13.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atzeneta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atzeneta's performance.

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zaragoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atzeneta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	12.5%	58.3%

Atzeneta - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Atzeneta will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ferri F. (G) 4. Ballester J. 18. Nacho Porcar 5. Frangi 22. Camps H. 6. Escriva J. 17. Carrasco C. 10. Garcia J. 21. Leo Rodriguez 9. Yarce B. 11. Encada Perez B.	13. Poussin G. (G) 27. Luna M. 15. Mourino S. 24. Lopez L. 31. Sebastian J. 21. Moya T. 26. Vaquero 7. Valera G. 10. Bermejo 23. Enrich S. 20. Mollejo V.
Substitutes
7. Adrian 2. Brambleclaw F. 14. Casas L. 19. Castillo P. 16. Garcia I. 20. Gomis Sapena A. 1. Macia I. 15. Marti S. 8. Ucles M.	36. Acin G. (G) 8. Aguado M. 9. Azon I. 38. Borge A. 37. Calavia C. (G) 34. Cuenca M. A. 14. Francho 5. Grau J. 3. Jair 22. Lecoeuche Q. 11. Mesa M. 19. Vallejo M.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atzeneta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zaragoza is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atzeneta UE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.11.23	Roda - Atzeneta	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Atzeneta - Rayo Ibense	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Silla - Atzeneta	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Atzeneta - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Elche Ilicitano - Atzeneta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTLW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
11.11.23	Elche - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
30.10.23	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Zaragoza - Eibar	2:3 ✺
14.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLT

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