Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6, DSports 7
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6, DSports 7
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6, DSports 7
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Burgos		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.9	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.4
	2.15	2.82	3.75	Watch
	2.29	2.81	3.86
	2.19	2.93	3.94	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.6
	2.22	2.97	3.91	Watch
	2.16	2.83	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.08)	2.85 ↓ (3.07)	3.8 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Burgos
42.6%

Draw
32.8%

Zaragoza
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

31.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	7.7%	46.2%

Burgos - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Burgos (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 50%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 33. Exposito M. 23. Morante I. 21. Cordoba I. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro	1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 4. Insua P. 5. Tachi 3. Tasende D. 6. Bare K. (C) 10. Guti R. 23. Cuenca M. A. 7. Soberon M. 21. Valery 19. Kodro K.
Substitutes
15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 31. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 20. Gonzalez M. 22. Martinez B. 36. Martinez I. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 32. Ventosa E.	24. Akouokou P. 12. Bakis S. 32. Barrachina H. 36. Gomes A. 9. Gomez D. 17. Moyano F. 8. Moya T. 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 33. Saidu Y. 34. Terrer L.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽, Miguel F. (A),
43', Nino F. 🟨,
45', Tachi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Andrada E. 🟨,
66', Kodro K. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
66', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
72', Insua P. 🟨,
73', Nino F. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
73', Cordoba I. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
79', Valery ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
86', Curro ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
86', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
86', Soberon M. ↓, Bakis S. ↑,
86', Tachi ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Bakis S. ⚽, Guti R. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Burgos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Burgos: Atienza M. (Yellow Cards) Gonzalez S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Akouokou P. (Inactive) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Injury) Saidu Y. (Ankle Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Burgos: Mejia M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Injury) Sans P. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.42%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.25	Burgos - Getafe	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Almería - Burgos	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Ceuta - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLWL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1
15.09.24	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:0
05.05.24	Zaragoza - Burgos	1:3
30.10.23	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1
26.02.23	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:0
27.11.22	Burgos - Zaragoza	2:2

Upcoming Matches