Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ibercaja Stadium (Zaragoza)

Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, Disney+
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Zaragoza		Eibar

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.2	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	3.5	2.98	2.18	Watch
	3.79	3	2.33
	3.78	3.07	2.16	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.25
	3.57	2.89	2.35	Watch
	3.6	2.85	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.61)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	2.29 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
27.1%

Draw
31.9%

Eibar
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza's form might have worsened.

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eibar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	26.7%	40%

Zaragoza - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Eibar will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Eibar (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eibar will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 33. Saidu Y. 18. El Yamiq J. 27. Larios J. 26. Mensah M. 5. Tachi 11. Gonzalez R. 14. Francho (C) 25. Cumic N. 23. Cuenca M. A.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 8. Nolaskoain P. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 14. Olaetxea L. 6. Alvarez S. 18. Ares A. 16. Madariaga A. 10. Guruzeta J. 20. Javier Marton
Substitutes
22. Agada W. 24. Akouokou P. 36. Gomes A. 17. Moyano F. 31. Pinilla H. 16. Radovanovic A. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 7. Soberon M. 3. Tasende D. 34. Terrer L. 21. Valery	7. Alkain X. 4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 9. Bautista J. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 15. Jair 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 22. Rodriguez A. 19. Villa T.
Coaches
Selles R.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, El Yamiq J. ⚽, Gonzalez R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Olaetxea L. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
50', Cumic N. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, El Yamiq J. (Own goal),
59', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,
61', Madariaga A. 🟨,
63', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Agada W. ↑,
63', Mensah M. ↓, Akouokou P. ↑,
64', Gonzalez R. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
66', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
66', Madariaga A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
67', Tachi 🟨,
70', Ares A. 🟨,
80', Ares A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
86', Guruzeta J. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
86', Saidu Y. ↓, Radovanovic A. ↑,
90+3', Garrido A. 🟨,
90+3', El Yamiq J. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1.

Recent performances by Zaragoza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eibar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21

Last Results with these Odds

Eibar - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zaragoza - Castellón	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Zaragoza - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTTWL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.26	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Granada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
02.01.26	Eibar - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2
12.04.25	Zaragoza - Eibar	2:2
14.12.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	2:1
11.02.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:0
21.10.23	Zaragoza - Eibar	2:3
21.04.23	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:1
03.10.22	Zaragoza - Eibar	0:0

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