Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: La Romareda (Zaragoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Zaragoza		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.25
	2.4	2.9	3.25	Watch
	2.42	2.94	3.56
	2.37	2.96	3.44	Watch
	2.38	2.88	3.25
	2.4	2.94	3.4	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)	2.9 ↓ (3.01)	3.34 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
39.5%

Draw
32.4%

Real Oviedo
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

32.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.1%	40.7%	11.1%

Zaragoza - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Femenias J. (G) 2. Luna M. 15. Vital B. 24. Lopez L. (C) 4. Tasende D. 14. Francho 21. Moya T. 6. Bare K. 20. Ares A. 9. Azon I. 33. Liso A.	1. Braat Q. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 15. Luengo O. 12. Calvo D. (C) 3. Alhassane R. 5. del Moral A. 10. Portillo F. 6. Sibo K. 7. Moyano F. 9. Alemao 14. Paraschiv D.
Substitutes
8. Aguado M. 23. Aketxe A. 1. Alvarez C. (G) 10. Bermejo 5. Clemente E. 26. Gori 3. Jair 22. Mari A. 17. Nieto C. 13. Poussin G. (G) 29. Sans P.	27. Cardero A. 8. Cazorla S. 16. Chaira I. 4. Costas D. 18. de la Fuente P. 22. Dotor C. 13. Escandell A. (G) 23. Hassan H. 2. Lemos A. 17. Masca 21. Pomares C. 29. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Fernandez V.	Calleja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Liso A. ⚽,
25', Bare K. 🟨,
28', Ares A. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Ares A. ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
37', Ahijado L. 🟨,
37', del Moral A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Azon I. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
46', del Moral A. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
46', Paraschiv D. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
46', Ahijado L. ↓, Costas D. ↑,
48', Moyano F. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Chaira I. ⚽, Portillo F. (A),
51', Braat Q. 🟨,
53', Bare K. (Pen),
60', Moyano F. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
61', Cardero A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Alemao ⚽, Cardero A. (A),
73', Liso A. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
76', Vital B. 🟨,
82', Portillo F. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
87', Ares A. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Chaira I. ⚽, Alhassane R. (A),
90+3', Bare K. ↓, Jair ↑,
90+3', Luna M. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 0.

Zaragoza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oviedo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zaragoza will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bazdar S. (Muscle Injury) Borge A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Kosa S. (Muscle Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Zaragoza - Granada	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Córdoba - Zaragoza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.24	Real Oviedo - Granada	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:5 ✺
29.11.24	Real Oviedo - Huesca	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
17.11.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.05.24	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	1:0
06.11.23	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	0:0
07.05.23	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	2:1
09.10.22	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	1:1
16.05.22	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	3:3
02.10.21	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	0:0
28.02.21	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	1:0

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