Match Info

National - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Dijon		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.5
	1.58	4.13	5.6
	1.67	3.42	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.82	5.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)	3.79 ↑ (3.77)	5.52 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
58.6%

Draw
24.5%

Concarneau
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Dijon - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Concarneau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 14. Marie J. (C) 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 3. Khatir F. 4. Barreto M. 21. Chouchane S. 10. Barka Y. 27. Moco Z. 17. Lembezat A. 11. Tavares J.	40. Cenatiempo V. (G) 27. Halby J. 4. Jannez G. (C) 6. Seba D. 5. Etcheverria B. 25. Seydi A. 11. Soukouna Y. 10. Gbelle G. 8. Picouleau M. 14. Mercier N. 9. Tell J.
Substitutes
2. Diallo I. 22. Domingues J. 7. Hamada B. 29. Ntamack A. 20. Vargas-Rios H.	30. Boulais R. (G) 21. El Khemiri Y. 28. Hocquet G. 3. Inquel S. 20. Tutu G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Mercier N. 🟨,
18', Barka Y. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Barka Y. ⚽, Khatir F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Barka Y. ⚽, Barreto M. (A),
64', Seydi A. ↓, Inquel S. ↑,
71', Barreto M. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
72', Moco Z. ↓, Diallo I. ↑,
72', Barka Y. ↓, Domingues J. ↑,
74', Etcheverria B. ↓, Tutu G. ↑,
74', Mercier N. ↓, El Khemiri Y. ↑,
81', Tavares J. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Chouchane S. ⚽, Ntamack A. (A),
85', El Khemiri Y. 🟨,
86', Chouchane S. ↓, Hamada B. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dijon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dijon is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Dijon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
12.09.25	Dijon - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Caen - Dijon	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dijon - Paris 13 Atletico	4:2 ✺
22.08.25	Stade Briochin - Dijon	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Dijon - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWTT
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
19.09.25	Concarneau - Fleury 91	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Versailles - Concarneau	4:0 ✺
05.09.25	Concarneau - Quevilly	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Aubagne - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Dijon - Concarneau	0:1
08.11.24	Concarneau - Dijon	1:2
Coupe De France
20.01.15	Concarneau - Dijon	1:0 ET

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