Match Info

National - Round 15

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Marseille Provence, FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Aubagne		Rouen FC

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.42
	3.04	3.12	2.5
	2.82	3.02	2.45
	2.7	2.9	2.45
	2.81	3.23	2.48	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.45)	3.03 ↑ (2.99)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
32.1%

Draw
30.5%

Rouen FC
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aubagne's performance.

Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Aubagne - Rouen FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aubagne will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rouen FC will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rouen FC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gil J. (G) 5. Chibani N. 26. Nehari M. (C) 12. M'Dahoma K. 13. Abdallah M. 23. Hamek M. 4. Diaby A. 34. El Kaddouri B. 28. Bentoumi M. 14. Mayilla E. 7. Chaban K.	30. Temperton A. (G) 20. Goprou D. 23. Bouzamoucha S. 22. Mendy F. 6. Benzia M. 19. Ait Moujane Y. 3. Cartillier A. 18. Bassin C. (C) 10. Rocha Santos K. 9. Abi C. 21. Ba-Sy A.
Substitutes
3. Ben Hamed Y. 19. Berrabha D. 39. Doukara S. 15. Mimb Baheng R. 18. Oudjani A.	8. Bezzekhami O. 15. Fuss V. 5. Genton E. 39. Ndeke N. 2. Titebah N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Rocha Santos K. 🟨,
19', Diaby A. 🟨,
25', Mendy F. 🟥,
40', 0 - 1, Abi C. ⚽, Ba-Sy A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Bassin C. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Hamek M. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Ait Moujane Y. ↓, Titebah N. ↑,
64', Ba-Sy A. ↓, Fuss V. ↑,
67', M'Dahoma K. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
68', Bentoumi M. ↓, Berrabha D. ↑,
77', Rocha Santos K. ↓, Genton E. ↑,
80', Chaban K. 🟨,
86', Mayilla E. ↓, Ben Hamed Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Recent performances by Aubagne have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Aubagne - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Rouen FC - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Orleans - Aubagne	2:4 ✺
07.11.25	Aubagne - Le Puy	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Châteauroux - Aubagne	0:3 ✺
21.10.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWTL
- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Rouen FC - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Rouen FC - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Caen - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Rouen FC - Paris 13 Atletico	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Stade Briochin - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
24.01.25	Rouen FC - Aubagne	0:1
23.08.24	Aubagne - Rouen FC	2:1

Aubagne - Rouen FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide