The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caen 33.9%
Draw 28.5%
Rouen FC 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
28.9%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
28.9%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Rouen FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
62.5%
12.5%
Caen - Rouen FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Rouen FC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% โ 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Clementia Y. (G) 24. Milliner L. 12. Appiah D. (C) 23. Carole L. 3. Bolumbu D. 5. Diaby Y. 11. Gnanduillet A. 6. Kimboma J. 20. Portut K. 10. Botella I. 9. El Khoumisti F.
1. Maraval A. (G) 5. Gaspar J. 15. Lamgahez Z. 22. Mendy F. 18. Bassin C. (C) 13. Camara B. 12. Toure A. 25. Diaby S. 11. Sommer N. 10. Karamoko I. 9. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
25. Bagbema Z. 18. Bomo F. 34. Kanoute D. 19. Lamouliatte H. 28. Saivet H. 2. Titebah N. 40. Tutu R. (G)
3. Borne M. 30. Desprez D. (G) 8. Egny G. 28. Pacius W. 19. Tramoni L. 21. Traore S. 29. Viana J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Appiah D. ⚽, Botella I. (A),
14', El Khoumisti F. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Tchokounte M. ⚽, Diaby S. (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, Gnanduillet A. ⚽, Bolumbu D. (A),
45+7', 3 - 1, Gnanduillet A. ⚽, Botella I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Kimboma J. ↓, Bomo F. ↑,
62', Gnanduillet A. ↓, Bagbema Z. ↑,
62', Diaby Y. ↓, Titebah N. ↑,
69', Toure A. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
69', Diaby S. ↓, Borne M. ↑,
69', Karamoko I. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
71', Carole L. 🟨,
71', Bagbema Z. 🟨,
73', Bomo F. 🟨,
74', Gaspar J. 🟨,
76', Botella I. ↓, Saivet H. ↑,
82', Tchokounte M. ↓, Viana J. ↑,
82', Sommer N. ↓, Egny G. ↑,
83', Bolumbu D. ↓, Lamouliatte H. ↑,
86', Portut K. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Viana J. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Ligue 2).
In recent outings, Caen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rouen FC is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Caen has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Caen against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Rouen
10
6
2
2
18:8
10
20
4
Caen
10
6
0
4
19:13
6
18
Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now
Caen: 24.77% Rouen: 13.42%
Last Results with these Odds
Caen - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
France
Italy
United Kingdom
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Clementia Y. (G) 
Milliner L. 
Diaby Y. 
Gnanduillet A. 
Kimboma J. 
Gaspar J. 
Mendy F. 
Camara B. 
Bomo F. 
Titebah N. 
Pacius W. 
Traore S. 
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