Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Seddon Fields (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Western Springs		Auckland City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.74	3.6	2.31
	4.81	4.78	1.52	Watch
	2.53	3.5	2.32
	2.71	3.4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.45)	3.76 ↑ (3.48)	2.15 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Springs
30.8%

Draw
25.2%

Auckland City
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Springs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Springs's form might have worsened.

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auckland City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Springs than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Springs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auckland City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western Springs - Auckland City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Auckland City (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Grand Final: Final) and 5).

Western Springs is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Auckland City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Western Springs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Western Springs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Springs AFC
New Zealand National League
22.11.25	Coastal Spirit - Western Springs	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Western Springs - Auckland United	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Christchurch United - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW
- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
21.11.25	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Miramar Rangers - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Auckland City - Auckland United	4:2 ✺
31.10.25	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Auckland City - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
02.11.24	Auckland City - Western Springs	1:2

Western Springs - Auckland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide