Match Info

Virsliga - Round 16

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs (Jelgava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus


	Jelgava		BFC Daugavpils

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.68	3.35	2.38	Watch
	2.58	3.5	2.32
	2.77	3.39	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.65	3.28	2.32	Watch
	2.6	3.29	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.56)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	2.41 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jelgava
35%

Draw
27.4%

BFC Daugavpils
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jelgava will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dvorak A. (C) 7. Janovskis A. 13. Novikovs J. 4. Kangars A. 3. Semesko M. 25. Prior L. 9. Becers R. 29. Zaleiko G. 8. Melkis R. 24. Hasek F. 17. Rataj T.	12. Beks J. (C) 37. Mihalcovs G. 5. Papa 20. Taty C. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 7. Sylla M. 4. Mukwelle W. 9. Traore A. 11. Yakubu J. 15. Ndjiki R. 22. Garzha A.
Substitutes
30. Belanik S. (G) 28. Deklavs A. 21. Kacanovs G. 16. Leitis T. (G) 20. Patika G. 19. Petersons A. 22. Pudil M. 18. Smaukstelis E. 5. Smirnovs I.	77. Aizups R. 99. Aronisko D. (G) 3. Baikovs R. 66. Bujanovs K. 10. Ivanovs E. 27. Kopilovs M. 19. Pinaskins E.
Coaches
Basovs A.	Kurbatov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Semesko M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Hasek F. ⚽, Melkis R. (A),
64', Sylla M. ↓, Pinaskins E. ↑,
64', Janovskis A. ↓, Pudil M. ↑,
64', Becers R. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Ndjiki R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.

Recent performances by Jelgava have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Daugavpils has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Daugavpils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	35:35	0	39
7	Jelgava	31	8	8	15	32:49	-17	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
26.05.26	Jelgava - Liepāja	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	RFS - Jelgava	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Riga - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Grobiņa - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Jelgava - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLTTW
- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
26.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
16.04.26	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	1:0
18.10.25	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	0:0
27.07.25	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	2:0
25.05.25	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	1:0
10.04.25	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	4:1
01.09.24	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	0:0
21.06.24	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	3:0

Upcoming Matches