Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions (Ilūkste)


	Augšdaugavas		Skanstes

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.65
	4.15	3.75	1.65
	4.31	3.91	1.65	Watch
	4.42	3.75	1.65
	4.1	3.7	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.29)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augšdaugavas
21.4%

Draw
24%

Skanstes
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.2%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

27.1%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augšdaugavas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Skanstes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augšdaugavas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Augšdaugavas - Skanstes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fastov A. (G) 2. Borisovs E. 26. Buks R. 3. Kharchilava S. 22. Kirikovs A. 21. Kokins O. O. 11. Pinaskins E. 99. Quaye D. 15. Rublevskis M. (C) 33. Sokolovs V. 7. Volosovs T.	1. Tolmanis T. (G) 17. Belickis G. 21. Bomis R. 5. Gulbis H. 19. Kellers O. (C) 18. Kletskiy M. 6. Lawal W. O. 25. Likas O. 8. Linavskis R. 7. Livcans L. 9. Petersons D.
Substitutes
23. Avdejevs D. 5. Bleive J. 27. Cemodanovs K. 16. Esenvalds E. 70. Kitsel V. 9. Linards R. 14. Neverovskis K. 20. Vinokurovs A. 24. Visnevskis E. (G)	11. Bekeris O. 23. Berzins M. 13. Jekabsons K. 12. Krumins K. (G) 10. Palameiks P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Bomis R. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Volosovs T. ⚽,
41', Kellers O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kletskiy M. ↓, Bekeris O. ↑,
47', Fastov A. 🟨,
47', 1 - 1, Bekeris O. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Lawal W. O. ⚽,
62', Borisovs E. ↓, Linards R. ↑,
62', Pinaskins E. ↓, Avdejevs D. ↑,
74', Sokolovs V. ↓, Lemonjava G. ↑,
76', Rublevskis M. 🟨,
77', Belickis G. ↓, Jekabsons K. ↑,
88', Livcans L. ↓, Berzins M. ↑,
90+1', Kokins O. O. ↓, Kitsel V. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Nakotnes liga (Relegation) and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Skanstes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Skanstes is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Augšdaugava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augšdaugavas NSS
Latvian 1 Liga
20.07.25	Augšdaugavas - Riga 2	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	JDFS Alberts - Augšdaugavas	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Augšdaugavas - Rīgas FS 2	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Smiltene - Augšdaugavas	5:0 ✺
08.06.25	Augšdaugavas - Olaine	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WTTLW
- Skanstes SK
Latvian 1 Liga
18.07.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Skanstes - Ogre United	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	JFK Ventspils - Skanstes	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.25	Skanstes - JDFS Alberts	1:2 ET ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.25	Skanstes - Olaine	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
29.03.25	Skanstes - Augšdaugavas	2:0

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