Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Flores G. (Bol)


	Aurora		Universitario de Sucre

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8
	1.52	3.8	5.25
	1.34	4.25	7.5
	1.34	4.7	7.2
	1.33	5.15	8.52
	1.34	4.9	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)	4.59 ↑ (4)	7.35 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
67.3%

Draw
20.1%

Universitario de Sucre
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Sucre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Aurora - Universitario de Sucre Predictions

Users Predictions: Aurora will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aurora won 2.

Recent matches Aurora is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aurora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aurora is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Aurora won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Aurora won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.08.22	Real Santa Cruz - Aurora	1:1 ✺
29.07.22	Aurora - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
24.07.22	The Strongest - Aurora	4:0 ✺
16.07.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Aurora	1:2 ✺
09.07.22	Aurora - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLWT
- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.07.22	Always Ready - Universitario de Sucre	4:0 ✺
27.07.22	Universitario de Sucre - Royal Pari	1:0 ✺
24.07.22	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Sucre	2:0 ✺
17.07.22	Universitario de Sucre - The Strongest	0:3 ✺
11.07.22	Guabirá - Universitario de Sucre	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
30.04.22	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	3:0
27.02.22	Universitario de Sucre - Aurora	1:1
04.11.18	Universitario de Sucre - Aurora	0:1
05.08.18	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	0:0
30.03.14	Universitario de Sucre - Aurora	1:0
18.01.14	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	0:0
28.11.13	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	4:1

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