The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aurora 60%
Draw 21.8%
Independiente Petroleros 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
21.1%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
16.2%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Aurora - Independiente Petroleros Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Petroleros (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Akologo D. (G) 26. Torrico D. (C) 52. Sanchez H. 16. Vidaurre I. 69. Terrazas A. 6. Sejas C. 5. Amarilla A. 12. Torrico J. 23. Fernandez A. 30. Gonzales M. 10. Verdun J.
23. Arauz E. (C) 6. Rivera A. 93. Willie 19. Cristaldo G. 24. Vedia C. 16. Martinez Y. 9. Villalba D. 94. Aguilera D. 2. Avila R. 27. Navarro D. 7. Cardozo R.
Substitutes
14. Aranibar B. 21. Ballivian R. 48. Berrios J. 9. Blanco O. 27. Flores A. 7. Huayhuata I. 35. Justiniano G. 22. Rojas S. 20. Sanchez A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 3. Vaca O. 29. Wesley
21. Arteaga N. 12. Cardozo H. 39. Grass P. 29. Medina A. 20. Mercado A. 68. Morales D. 3. Soleto W. 77. Zamora R.
Coaches
Zenteno E.
HInojosa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Gonzales M. 🟥,
40', 1 - 0, Sanchez H. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
45+2', Torrico D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Cristaldo G. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
46', Willie ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
46', Verdun J. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
54', Vidaurre I. ↓, Justiniano G. ↑,
64', Fernandez A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Wesley ⚽, Amarilla A. (A),
76', Medina A. ↓, Morales D. ↑,
77', Martinez Y. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Mercado A. ⚽, Rivera A. (A),
81', Mercado A. 🟨,
84', Amarilla A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
84', Terrazas A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
86', Vedia C. ↓, Zamora R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Villalba D. ⚽, Morales D. (A),
90+6', Morales D. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 3, Villalba D. ⚽, Morales D. (A),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3.
In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ind Petroleros has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ind Petroleros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Bolivia
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Akologo D. (G) 
Sanchez H. 
Terrazas A. 
Amarilla A. 
Willie 
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