Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Aurora Alto Casertano		Tolentino

	1	X	2
	16.57	8.26	1.05
	69	8.8	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	42.79 ↑ (5.33)	8.53 ↑ (3.44)	1.05 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora Alto Casertano
2.1%

Draw
10.7%

Tolentino
87.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

25.5%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

20.5%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora Alto Casertano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurora Alto Casertano's form might have worsened.

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolentino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora Alto Casertano than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora Alto Casertano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Alto Casertano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tolentino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tolentino is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Alto Casertano
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.01.22	Montegiorgio - Aurora Alto Casertano	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Notaresco - Aurora Alto Casertano	4:0 ✺
22.12.21	Aurora Alto Casertano - Sambenedettese	2:3 ✺
19.12.21	Matese - Aurora Alto Casertano	4:1 ✺
12.12.21	Aurora Alto Casertano - Chieti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.01.22	Tolentino - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Tolentino - Montegiorgio	0:3 ✺
22.12.21	Pineto - Tolentino	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Sambenedettese - Tolentino	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWLW

Aurora Alto Casertano - Tolentino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide