Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tolentino		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.05
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	2.9	3	2.2
	3.35	2.69	2.26
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.04	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.93)	2.95 ↓ (3.16)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolentino
28.9%

Draw
30.4%

Recanatese
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

21%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolentino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tolentino - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Tolentino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recanatese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recanatese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tolentino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.01.22	Tolentino - Montegiorgio	0:3 ✺
22.12.21	Pineto - Tolentino	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Sambenedettese - Tolentino	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Tolentino - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:0 ✺
08.12.21	Chieti - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWT
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.01.22	Chieti - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
22.12.21	Recanatese - Notaresco	3:0 ✺
19.12.21	Castelfidardo - Recanatese	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.12.21	Sambenedettese - Recanatese	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.12.21	Recanatese - Matese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Recanatese - Tolentino	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.09.21	Recanatese - Tolentino	0:4
24.03.21	Recanatese - Tolentino	2:2
04.10.20	Tolentino - Recanatese	2:2

Tolentino - Recanatese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tolentino - Recanatese Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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