Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Aurrerá de Vitoria		Santurtzi

	1	X	2
	2.48	3	2.62
	2.79	2.88	2.63
	2.46	3.22	2.7
	2.63	2.8	2.6
	2.41	3.1	2.67
	2.66	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.86)	3 ↑ (2.98)	2.63 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá de Vitoria
35.3%

Draw
30.2%

Santurtzi
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

30.4%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.6%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Aurrerá de Vitoria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
17	Santurtzi	5	1	0	4	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Pasaia	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWLWL
- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.02.26	Santurtzi - Leioa	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Eibar C - Santurtzi	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Santurtzi - Añorga	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Santurtzi - Durango	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Santurtzi - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.03.18	Santurtzi - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:0
01.11.17	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi	1:2

Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide