Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Durango		Alavés C

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.84	3.45	3.75
	1.78	3.44	3.93
	1.79	3.54	4.03
	1.9	3.37	4.05
	1.84	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	3.85 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
49.9%

Draw
26.5%

Alavés C
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Durango's performance.

Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Durango that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Durango - Alavés C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 🟥,
82', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Durango have a series of guest games.

Durango will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Durango won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Durango won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.02.25	Derio - Durango	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Beasain - Durango	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Pasaia - Durango	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Durango - San Ignacio	3:1 ✺
15.12.24	Basconia - Durango	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLWL
- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.02.25	Alavés C - Urduliz	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Alavés C - Padura	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Derio - Alavés C	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Alavés C - Santurtzi	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Beasain - Alavés C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.03.24	Alavés C - Durango	1:2
28.10.23	Durango - Alavés C	1:0

Durango - Alavés C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide