Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Leioa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.4	2.65	2.1
	3.25	2.85	2.12
	3.62	2.76	2.11
	3.7	2.85	2.15
	3.4	2.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.74)	2.84 ↓ (3.33)	2.13 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
26.3%

Draw
31.6%

Leioa
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.7%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

26.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leioa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leioa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs)).

Aurrerá Ondarroa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leioa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aurrerá Ondarroa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leioa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.01.23	Barakaldo - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:0 ✺
08.01.23	Portugalete - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Deusto	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Pasaia	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Touring KE - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT
- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.01.23	Leioa - Portugalete	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Leioa - Pasaia	7:0 ✺
18.12.22	San Ignacio - Leioa	0:2 ✺
10.12.22	Leioa - Vitoria	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Basconia - Leioa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.09.22	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:1
15.01.22	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:0

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Leioa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide